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Broadgate: Market News 09/11

9  November 2012

Stocks fell on Thursday and could be in line for more weakness as worries about Washington’s ability to find a timely solution to the “fiscal cliff” dominate investor thinking in coming weeks.

The S&P 500 dropped for a second day and closed below its 200-day moving average for the first time in five months.

The moving average is a measure of the market’s long-term trend, and a significant break through that level would be seen as a sign of weakness. Just minutes before the closing bell, stocks accelerated their declines and the S&P 500 fell more than 1 percent.

McDonald’s Corp shares fell 2 percent to $85.13 after the world’s largest hamburger chain reported its first monthly drop in global sales since March 2003. The stock’s weakness hurt the Dow, which fell through its 200-day moving average on Wednesday.

“Most of the major indices are busting below or challenging those trendlines. Typically those offer pretty strong support, and I would be surprised to see the S&P 500 fall like a knife through here,” said Bruce Zaro, chief technical strategist at Delta Global Asset Management, in Boston.

Apple shares sank for a second day. The stock fell 3.6 percent to $537.75 and is down more than 20 percent from its September 21 all-time intraday high of $705.07.

The Dow Jones industrial average lost 121.41 points, or 0.94 percent, to end at 12,811.32. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 17.02 points, or 1.22 percent, to 1,377.51, ending at its lowest level since August 2. The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 41.70 points, or 1.42 percent, to close at 2,895.58.

Since reaching a 52-week closing high of 1,465.77 on September 14, the S&P 500 has dropped 6 percent. On Wednesday, a day after Democratic President Barack Obama defeated Republican Mitt Romney in the U.S. election, the benchmark S&P 500 dropped more than 2 percent for its biggest one-day percentage decline since June 1.

Investors worry that if no deal is reached in Congress over some $600 billion in spending cuts and tax increases due to take effect early next year, the struggling U.S. economy could fall into recession.

While a comprehensive agreement to avoid the automatic spending cuts and tax increases of the “fiscal cliff” was possible, a more likely scenario is for political leaders to find a temporary fix to buy time until the new Congress and Obama are sworn in, which will occur in January.

The prospect of haggling over the budget has deepened the uncertainty for investors, who have sold stocks on the expectation taxes will go up on capital gains and dividends.

“That’s really what investors have been reacting to these last two days,” said Zaro. “It is this worry about the fiscal cliff and the ability of politicians to come to a solution.”

Because of those worries, the market is likely to keep challenging support levels in the coming weeks, he said.

On the data front, the U.S. government reported a better-than-expected drop in weekly first-time claims for unemployment benefits as well as a rise in U.S. exports.

While that news supported stock futures early in the U.S. trading day, it was soon overshadowed by the U.S. fiscal worries.

Qualcomm Inc was a bright spot, with the stock ending up 4.4 percent at $60.67 after the leading supplier of chips for cell phones reported quarterly revenue Wednesday that beat expectations.

Among other earnings reports, Whole Foods Market Inc (WFM.O) posted earnings that met expectations, but said Hurricane Sandy was a drag on sales this quarter. Its shares slid 5.9 percent to $90.31.

With results in from more than 440 companies, third-quarter S&P 500 earnings are now seen down 0.2 percent from a year ago, which is slightly better than the forecast at the start of the reporting period. Results have been especially weak on the revenue side, however, with just 38 percent of companies beating on sales, Thomson Reuters data showed.

GROUPON SINKS LATE

After the bell, shares of Groupon slid 16.1 percent to $3.29 after reporting results that missed expectations.

Shares of Priceline.com dropped 1.6 percent to $618.01 after news that the online travel agency bought smaller rival Kayak Software. Shares of Kayak shot up 27.8 percent to $39.66 in extended trading.

Shares of Walt Disney (DIS.N) fell 2.1 percent to $49 after the bell after the Dow component posted quarterly results, while shares of Nordstrom (JWN.N) slid 3.7 percent to $53.36 following the release of its results. Walt Disney’s stock ended the regular session at $50.04, while Nordstrom closed at $55.40.

During the regular session, volume was roughly 6.9 billion shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange, the Nasdaq and the NYSE MKT, compared with the year-to-date average daily closing volume of 6.52 billion.

Decliners outnumbered advancers by a ratio of about 3 to 1 on both the NYSE and the Nasdaq.

Commodities

Gold inched up on Friday, heading for its biggest weekly rise in over two months, on the prospect of monetary policy remaining loose after U.S. President Barack Obama’s re-election, and worries about looming fiscal woes driving safe haven bids.

Spot gold inched up 0.1 percent to $1,732.25 an ounce by 0038 GMT, on course for a weekly rise of more than 3 percent — the sharpest since late August.

U.S. gold was up 0.4 percent to $1,732.60.

Currencies

The euro buckled near a two-month low against the dollar on Friday, dogged by a bleak economic outlook in the euro zone, uncertainty on Greece’s aid deal and lack of hints from policymakers on when Spain will ask for financial aid.

The euro hit a two-month low of $1.2717 on Thursday and last stood at $1.2755, flat on the day and barely holding above a key support from a 38.2 percent retracement of the currency’s gain from July to September at $1.2741.

The dollar fetched 79.48 yen, having fallen to 79.32 yen on Thursday, its lowest in more than a week as financial markets turned risk-averse.

The Australian dollar, often used as a proxy for China because of China’s huge impact on the Australian economy, traded at $1.0404, having retreated from Wednesday’s 1 1/2-month high of $1.0480.

Source:  Reuters.com

The information set out herein has been obtained from various public sources and is by way of information only. Broadgate Financial can accept no liability of any sort in relation thereto and readers should obtain their own verification of any statement before making any decision which may have any financial or other impact.

Neither the information nor the opinions herein constitute, or are they to be construed as, an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell investments.

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