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Broadgate: Market News 14/11

14 November 2012

Stocks sold off late in the session on Tuesday, led by a slide in Microsoft shares, though retailers were a notable bright spot after Home Depot raised its outlook.

Microsoft Corp was the most actively traded on Nasdaq, weighing on the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite after the surprising departure of a key executive. The stock fell 3.2 percent to $27.09.

After the closing bell, Cisco Systems shares rose 6.8 percent to $18 after it reported quarterly revenue and earnings that beat analysts’ estimates.

Home Depot shares hit during the regular session levels not seen since April 2000 and the company’s raised outlook suggested a revival in the long-dormant U.S. housing market. The S&P retail sector index advanced 1 percent.

“Home Depot did say something about housing, which was perceived as positive and was behind the earlier rally,” said Richard Sichel, chief investment officer at Philadelphia Trust Co.

“That was tempered by Microsoft, to some extent, and probably more so by the ‘fiscal cliff,'” he said.

The S&P 500 is down 2.7 percent so far this month and closed below its 200-day moving average for a fourth day in a row, a technical indicator that suggests the recent declines could gain momentum. The moving average is currently at 1,381.58, and failure to rise above that level suggests market weakness.

Concerns about the looming “fiscal cliff” kept investor activity subdued as lawmakers returned to Washington after the November 6 election, when President Barack Obama won a second term while Democrats added to their margin in the U.S. Senate and picked up seats in the House of Representatives.

The market is grappling with how a divided U.S. Congress will deal with the series of mandated tax hikes and spending cuts that start to take effect next year and could take the world’s largest economy back into recession. However, serious negotiations are still weeks away, analysts said.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 58.90 points, or 0.46 percent, to 12,756.18 at the close. The S&P 500 dropped 5.50 points, or 0.40 percent, to 1,374.53. The Nasdaq Composite lost 20.37 points, or 0.70 percent, to 2,883.89.

Dow component Home Depot Inc raised its full-year outlook even before accounting for any future lift in sales in the aftermath of super storm Sandy, as the retailer benefited from a recent uptick in the U.S. housing market. Home Depot’s stock rose 3.6 percent to $63.38, its highest close in more than 12 years.

TJX Cos, which owns the Marshalls and T.J. Maxx retail chains, reported results that beat analysts’ forecasts and its shares added 2.7 percent to $42.06.

Microsoft shares fell after Steve Sinofsky, head of the Windows unit, left the company. Sinofsky was considered the driving force behind Windows, the company’s biggest product.

Technology shares led the market’s decline, with an S&P technology index .GSPT down 0.8 percent.

AK Steel Holding shares fell 17.6 percent to $4.50 after the company forecast a fourth-quarter loss.

Just over 6.2 billion shares changed hands on the New York Stock Exchange, the Nasdaq and NYSE MKT, below the daily average during November last year of 7.33 billion shares.

More than two issues fell for every one that rose on both the NYSE and the Nasdaq.

Currencies

The euro dipped to a two-month low against the dollar on Tuesday after the euro zone and the International Monetary Fund failed to agree on a long-term plan to reduce Greece’s debt, preventing disbursement of immediate aid to Athens.

While market players expect Greece to manage to get by this week without the aid money it was counting on, uncertainty over its short-term financing and long-term debt reduction plan was enough to put off investors.

“Few people would think that the euro zone will desert Greece. Still, the market will be frustrated by lack of a clear picture. I expect the euro to keep falling gradually,” said Ayako Sera, senior market economist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank.

With the aid funds from international lenders blocked, Greece plans to sell treasury bills on Tuesday to refinance a 5 billion issue maturing on Friday.

But some market players are not sure if they can take successful auction for granted.

“Although the market was indeed not expecting progress this time, there remain concerns about Greece’s funding, putting pressure on the euro,” Masafumi Yamamoto, chief FX strategist at Barclays in Tokyo, wrote in a note to clients.

The euro fell to as low as $1.2676, having erased about four-fifths of its gains made after the European Central Bank unveiled a program to buy government bonds with aim to buy Spanish debt on September

It last stood at $1.2684, down 0.2 percent on the day, having constantly declining since it peaked at $1.3140 mid-October as the euphoria over the ECB’s scheme faded.

Against the yen, the common currency fell to 100.74 yen, threatening to break below one-month low of 100.43 yen hit on Friday.

Euro zone finance ministers agreed to grant Athens two more years to reach its budget goal but the IMF and the euro zone are at loggerheads over who should shoulder the cost — around 33 billion euro — as well as on a longer-term target date to shrink the country’s debt pile.

“If you extend the deadline by two years, you need more money, and countries like Germany and Finland will need to go to the parliament. The market will be concerned if all of that goes so smoothly,” said a trader at a Japanese bank.

Eurogroup Chairman Jean-Claude Juncker said on Monday another Eurogroup meeting would take place on November 20, before the EU summit from Nov 22, though officials said more negotiations could be required the week after that to nail down a new deal.

ANOTHER FISCAL PROBLEM

On top of concerns about the euro zone, fears of a recession in the United States if policymakers in Washington fail to repeal the fiscal cliff of automatic spending cuts and higher tax rates due to kick in early next year undermined risk sentiment, helping the dollar.

The dollar index, a measure of the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, rose to 81.20 its highest level since early September.

On the daily Ichimoku chart, the index rose above the top of the cloud, which stood at 81.054, in a major bull signal for the index.

But market players also said the fiscal cliff could haunt the dollar, if investors start betting the Federal Reserve will take easing steps to counter the effect of the fiscal cliff.

In such case, the dollar’s weakness may become notable particularly against the yen, which often tends to outperform when risk appetite wanes because of Japan’s net creditor status.

The dollar fetched 79.43 yen, little changed on the day and off three-week low of 79.07 yen.

The U.S. currency briefly rose to 79.64 yen on speculation Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda may soon dissolve the parliament and hold a snap election by the end of year.

Opinion polls have shown the conservative opposition Liberal Democratic Party, whose leader Shinzo Abe is seen as putting more pressure on the Bank of Japan to ease its policy, is in the lead.

Source:  Reuters.com

The information set out herein has been obtained from various public sources and is by way of information only. Broadgate Financial can accept no liability of any sort in relation thereto and readers should obtain their own verification of any statement before making any decision which may have any financial or other impact.

Neither the information nor the opinions herein constitute, or are they to be construed as, an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell investments.

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