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Broadgate: Market News 14/2

14 February 2013

Stocks drifted in light volume on Wednesday, ending little changed, as investors remained cautious after the S&P 500 index briefly hit its highest intraday level since November 2007.

The S&P 500 was buoyed by General Electric after cable company Comcast Corp said it will buy from GE the the part of NBCUniversal it didn’t already own for $16.7 billion.

Comcast’s stock hit the highest since 1999 before closing up 3 percent at $40.13 and GE gained 3.6 percent to $23.39.

The S&P 500 is up 6.6 percent so far this year, partly due to stronger-than-expected corporate earnings and a better economic outlook. The Dow industrials is about 1 percent away from an all-time intraday high, reached in October 2007.

Volume has been weak in recent days with the S&P moving sideways around 1,520. The index is about 3 percent away from closing at a record high.

A scarcity of sellers after a consistent string of gains is a positive sign and shows the uptrend is intact, King Lip, chief investment officer at Baker Avenue Asset Management in San Francisco, said.

“Last year we had double-digit returns in the first quarter. It’s fairly possible we can move higher from here,” he said.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 35.79 points or 0.26 percent, to 13,982.91, the S&P 500 gained 0.9 point or 0.06 percent, to 1,520.33 and the Nasdaq Composite added 10.38 points or 0.33 percent, to 3,196.88.

The S&P gained 12 percent in the first three months of 2012.

Deere & Co, the world’s largest farm equipment maker, forecast a modest increase in sales this year despite the prospect of the biggest corn crop in U.S. history. The forecast fell short of analysts’ expectations, sending shares of Deere down 3.5 percent to $90.68.

In extended trading, shares of technology bellwether Cisco Systems fell 2 percent after it posted results.

Dr Pepper Snapple fell 5.8 percent to $42.69 after it forecast profit for the current year below analysts’ estimates.

Cliffs Natural Resources lost a fifth of its market value a day after the miner reported a quarterly loss and slashed its dividend by 76 percent. Its shares fell 20 percent to 429.29.

According to the latest Thomson Reuters data, of the 364 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported results, 70.3 percent have exceeded analysts’ expectations, above a 62 percent average since 1994 and 65 percent over the past four quarters.

About 5.9 billion shares changed hands on the New York Stock Exchange, the Nasdaq and NYSE MKT, below the daily average in February last year of 6.94 billion.

On the NYSE, roughly seven issues rose for every five that fell and on Nasdaq more than six rose for every five decliners.

Currencies

The yen slipped against the dollar and euro on Thursday as investors awaited a Bank of Japan policy decision later in the session, as well as a meeting of Group of 20 nations in coming days, for signals on how long the yen’s weak trend might last.

While the BOJ is expected to keep monetary policy steady, it is also likely to underscore its readiness to expand monetary stimulus again if risks to the outlook heighten.

The dollar traded at 93.47 yen, up 0.2 percent and moving back toward a 33-month high of 94.465 set on Monday. The euro stood at 125.74 yen, up about 0.2 percent and moving closer to a 34-month peak of 127.71 scaled a week ago.

Data released earlier on Thursday showed Japan’s economy contracted for the third consecutive quarter in October-December, adding weight to the new government’s push for radical policy steps to revive growth and whip deflation.

Many analysts and market participants expect the BOJ to stand pat until the first rate review under its next governor, scheduled for April 3-4. BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa will leave together with his two central bank deputies three weeks ahead of the end of his five-year term, clearing the way for slightly earlier implementation of aggressive monetary easing under his successor.

“This leaves the risks that the BOJ actually does positively surprise the market. Nonetheless, it may be more prudent to wait and buy USD/JPY on the 90 handle, as the risk trade is somewhat stretched,” analysts at Societe Generale wrote in a note.

Since November, the dollar has soared around 20 percent on the yen, while the euro has gained about 25 percent, as the BOJ came under relentless political pressure to deliver aggressive stimulus steps.

Markets turned nervous this week ahead of the BOJ meeting as well as a two-day meeting of G20 finance ministers and central bank officials starting on Friday, due to concerns that Japan could come under pressure from international peers unhappy with the steep fall in the yen.

On Thursday, South Korea’s central bank explicitly cited “the new Japanese government’s expansionary policy operations” as one of the “potential uncertainties” to South Korea’s growth path.

A G7 statement, designed to cool international currency tensions, caused some market confusion after Japan said the statement condoned its reflationary policy, while a G7 official suggested otherwise.

Summing up the frustration, the Bank of England chief on Wednesday said the G7 statement should be taken at face value and anonymous officials should not try to reinterpret it.

Against the dollar, the euro was steady at $1.3450 after earlier rising to a one-week high of $1.3520. Resistance is seen around $1.3530, the 50 percent retracement level of its Feb 1-11 fall.

Underpinning the euro, data on Wednesday showed output at euro zone factories rose for the first time since August at the end of last year, a sign the single currency bloc was slowly starting to pull out of recession.

“Some investors are confused as to the future course of the euro, since its recent rise wasn’t due so much to fundamentals,” said Kimihiko Tomita, head of forex at State Street in Tokyo.

Commodity currencies fared well with the Australian dollar rising to a one week high of $1.0370, pulling away from a four-month trough of $1.0222 plumbed on Tuesday.

Source:  Reuters.com

The information set out herein has been obtained from various public sources and is by way of information only. Broadgate Financial can accept no liability of any sort in relation thereto and readers should obtain their own verification of any statement before making any decision which may have any financial or other impact.

Neither the information nor the opinions herein constitute, or are they to be construed as, an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell investments.

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