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Broadgate: Market News 8/3

8 March 2013

Stocks closed modestly higher on Thursday, with the Dow ending at a record for a third straight day as jobless claims data pointed to a pick-up in the labor market’s recovery a day before the closely watched payrolls report.

The Dow and the S&P 500 were both up for their fifth straight days as investors looked for opportunities to buy into the recent rally. However, caution ahead of the jobs report curbed gains and kept the S&P more than 1 percent below its record close.

“Today’s move is pretty tranquil. No one is going to take big positions ahead of tomorrow’s number, but the market is definitely in an uptrend,” said Paul Zemsky, the New York-based head of asset allocation at ING Investment Management.

Growth-oriented sectors led the day’s gains. The S&P financial index added 0.7 percent and hit an intraday high. Shares of Dow component Bank of America rose 2.9 percent to $12.26 while JPMorgan Chase & Co added 1.2 percent to $50.63.

A strengthening economy and loose monetary policy by central banks around the world have pushed U.S. stocks higher this year. Investors have kept buying into the market since Tuesday’s rally, but gains have been more subdued.

Worries remain as Washington debates the path of fiscal policy, the euro zone is not out of its crisis, and U.S. economic growth remains anemic.

However, the latest economic data was encouraging, as the number of Americans filing claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week to a seasonally adjusted 340,000. It was the second straight week of declines.

Investors will stay focused on the labor market ahead of Friday’s non-farm payrolls report, which is expected to show the U.S. economy added 160,000 jobs in February. While it has been a soft spot in the economic recovery, the labor market is seen as healing slowly.

“If payrolls disappoint, we’ll have a pullback, but that won’t be enough to derail the rally,” said Zemsky, who helps oversee $170 billion. “If the report is strong, markets still have room to grow.”

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 33.25 points, or 0.23 percent, to 14,329.49, a record closing high. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index added 2.80 points, or 0.18 percent, to 1,544.26. The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 9.72 points, or 0.30 percent, to end at 3,232.09.

During Thursday’s session, the Dow climbed as high as 14,354.69 – its third straight intraday record high.

The Dow is up 9.4 percent so far this year, while the S&P 500 is up 8.3 percent.

The Russell 2000 Index, which measures the performance of 2,000 U.S. small-cap companies, closed at a record high in Thursday’s session, as did the Russell 1000 and the Russell 3000.

In a separate report on Thursday, the Commerce Department said the U.S. international trade deficit widened more than expected in January as crude oil imports rose and fuel oil exports fell. In contrast, the department cut its estimate of the December trade gap.

Shares of network equipment maker Ciena jumped 17.3 percent to $17.53 after the company reported a smaller quarterly loss.

Retail stocks were among the most active following February same-store sales. Gap Inc jumped 4.1 percent to $35.87 as its results were stronger than expected, while Zumiez slid 4.8 percent to $22 on a weak report.

Teen apparel retailer Hot Topic Inc said it will be bought by private equity firm Sycamore Partners for about $600 million. Shares surged 29 percent to $13.87.

Time Warner Inc rose 2.4 percent to $56.78 after the company said it would spin off its magazine unit, ending weeks of merger talks with Meredith Corp. Meredith fell 6.2 percent to $37.82.

On the down side, shares of PetSmart fell 6.6 percent to $62.18 after the company’s full-year profit forecast missed analysts’ estimates. At least two brokerages cut their price targets on the retailer’s stock.

About 56 percent of stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange closed higher, while 58 percent of Nasdaq-listed shares ended in positive territory.

Volume was light, with about 6.1 billion shares changing hands on the New York Stock Exchange, the Nasdaq and NYSE MKT, below the daily average so far this year of about 6.48 billion shares.

Currencies

The dollar surged to a 3-1/2 year high against the yen on Friday, with the near-term focus on whether U.S. jobs data will fuel hopes for a further recovery in the U.S. labor market.

The euro eased versus the dollar but clung to the bulk of the gains made the previous day, when the European Central Bank wrong-footed investors who had positioned for a more dovish signal from ECB President Mario Draghi.

The yen remained under pressure as markets looked past the Bank of Japan’s steady policy decision on Thursday to its April meeting, where new leaders are expected to take bolder action to defeat deflation.

The dollar climbed 0.7 percent to 95.44 yen on trading platform EBS as of 0318 GMT, its highest level against the yen since August 2009.

Traders said dollar buying by Japanese importers on Friday helped add to the yen’s weakness.

The focus now is on the U.S. jobs data due later on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters expect the U.S. economy to have created a net 160,000 jobs in February while the unemployment rate remained at 7.9 percent.

“If the jobs data turns out to be good I think we will start to see a 95 yen to 98 yen range,” said Hiroshi Maeba, head of FX trading Japan for UBS in Tokyo.

The dollar will probably be bought against the yen as long as the jobs data is broadly in line with expectations, Maeba said.

Market players expect the Bank of Japan to launch more monetary stimulus, possibly at its next meeting on April 3-4, when Haruhiko Kuroda, a vocal advocate of aggressive easing, is expected to have taken over as governor.

EURO SLIPS VS DOLLAR

The euro eased against the dollar but clung to the bulk of the gains made on Thursday, when the euro climbed about 1 percent as euro bears covered short positions after ECB President Mario Draghi gave no indication that the bank would cut interest rates further in the euro zone.

Draghi on Thursday played down the threat of contagion to other euro members stemming from a political stalemate in Italy. He also sounded upbeat on the outlook, saying there are many signs that market confidence in the euro area is returning.

The single currency slipped 0.1 percent to $1.3096.

Against the yen, the euro rose 0.6 percent to 124.98 yen.

Sterling, which had gained a slight reprieve after the Bank of England held fire on more economic stimulus on Thursday, eased 0.1 percent to $1.5005, still precariously close to a 2-1/2 year trough of $1.4965 that had been set on Thursday ahead of the BoE decision.

Source:  Reuters.com

The information set out herein has been obtained from various public sources and is by way of information only. Broadgate Financial can accept no liability of any sort in relation thereto and readers should obtain their own verification of any statement before making any decision which may have any financial or other impact.

Neither the information nor the opinions herein constitute, or are they to be construed as, an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell investments.

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